Very busy on the desk today.

Just found an interesting article on foreclosures and the Condo market.

A couple of years ago I remember seeing a documentary on people waiting in line for days to buy Condos in Florida. It was absolute madness. It was the top of the market.

This article has me thinking that if I had the capital, maybe it would be a good idea to buy some prime real estate in a sunshine state. I could rent it out to vacationers and stay for free when I need a break from the cold. If only….

Quote of the day:

“[Citigroup] is so deep in a black hole that even renown physicist Stephen Hawking could not help the ailing company” - Banking analyst Meredith Whitney (via NY Post)

Ouch!

Some curious US economic numbers were released this morning. April’s retail sales fell 0.2%, however, when excluding auto sales the number becomes an increase of 0.5%, beating forecasts calling for a 0.2% rise.

The first curious observation is that retail sales were up, even with the recent drop in consumer confidence numbers. This can partly be explained by strong sales in defensive retailers like Wal-Mart and Costco that were reported for the same period.

The second curious observation is not that car sales dropped, as that has to be a no brainer given gas prices and the auto industry’s snail pace at responding to changing market conditions.  It is that sales at filling stations also dropped. One would think that it would be very difficult to produce lower sales when your product is in-elastic and at record prices. This has to be the most compelling evidence that people are changing their driving habits. Specifically, they are driving less. Car companies should take note, as less driving will undoubtedly lead to even lower sales.

When I first got interested in markets I thought technical analysis was a great tool. It was easy to learn, made logical sense and most importantly, appeared to work.

I was fooled by this cunning, seductive mistress. Technical analysis is the fools gold of finance. It is an illusion that is as real as Michael Jackson’s face. But to quote Levar Burton’s Reading Rainbow: “You don’t have to take my word for it”. Read the rest of this entry »

Microsoft is turning into quite the hussy. Shortly after breaking up with Yahoo! before they even officially dated, Microsoft has been seen holding hands with Facebook…. and they might even kiss.

I never liked the proposed Yahoo merger. This one, however, might have legs.

Firstly, lets ignore the $15 billion valuation that Facebook claimed to have in October. That number is just silly. Facebook is still a new kid on the block, they’re still working on a business model that will work in the long run.

Although it is still growing like vile weed, I have noticed that fewer and fewer people on my Facebook account update their profiles in a regular basis. Facebook could just be an Internet trend. A flash in the pan. Not a $15 billion dollar company.

Microsoft could bring a lot of help to ensure that Facebook becomes a long term juggernaut on the Internet. They have the reach, the knowledge, the experience and most importantly, they are just as evil.

Facebook has built a reputation for having poor privacy controls and whoring out users to advertisers. Microsoft has a reputation for whoring out user’s rights to media lobbies. Together they can ruin your online experience and share it with the world.

Seriously though, these two firms would benefit from each other. Microsoft would gain a growing Internet database of consumer information, Facebook would get a grownup to steer it in the right direction.

I say go for it! 

Not too many people pay attention to contrarians. They often remind me of the kids in school who ate paste. Sitting in a corner by themselves, ostrasized by their peers. Loners. What you forget is that these kids are often the ones who grow up to do great things. Their minds are complex and cavernous, sparkling with nuggets of information that every investor should pay attention to.

Contrarians are not the ones shouting from atop desks, playing silly sounds and acting like crazed lunatics when discussing the stock of the day. In fact, one could argue that a contrarian is the exact opposite of Jim Cramer. Read the rest of this entry »

I’m out of the office today, but I’ve written this special feature about choosing a stock broker instead.

For many people, navigating the world of investment products and services is a daunting task. A stock broker can be a great way of saving time and effort by having a professional do the research and look after your finances. The process of selecting this individual can become as stressful and daunting as choosing a house or planning that perfect trip. You’ve worked hard for your money and you want it treated right, so read on and enjoy the tips!

Read the rest of this entry »

“Google Inc. blew past Wall Street expectations this quarter, posting revenue of $5.19-billion (U.S.), a 42 per cent jump over the same period in 2007 and 7 per cent higher than the previous quarter.

Net income – adjusted for generally accepted accounting practices – for the first quarter was $1.31-billion compared to $1.21 billion in the fourth quarter of 2007. Earnings per share amounted to $4.12 on 317 million diluted shares, compared to $3.79 for the fourth quarter of 2007.” Via [Globe & Mail]

I find this a bit curious. Very interesting.

Google’s bread and butter is advertising, it’s their only real source of revenue. They have made a killing doing the best job and using the brightest people. I think its great.

What’s curious and interesting is this unexpected increase. Usually in a economic downturn, marketing and advertising are the first costs to be cut. Firms would rather trim those budgets than fire workers. It’s much easier to later increase spending compared to training new staff.

So now in the midst of all this economic doom and gloom, here’s feisty Google posting up some big numbers. So is the doom and gloom over exaggerated? Or is Google just that good? Very interesting…..

• Hedge Fund managers always have something interesting to say. Check out this interview with Jim Rogers. [Via Investment U]
• For a glance at Europe’s inflation numbers, read up about it at the bonddad blog.
• If I had a Hedge fund manager’s pay, I wouldn’t have to write this blog… compensation in the BILLIONS. Anybody out there want to hire me to manage their fund?

• No surprise that inflation is up given all the record commodity prices.
• I always thought Crocs were the dumbest sandal fashion of the decade. It seems consumers are finally catching on. Via The Motley Fool.
• Visit the Canadian Capitalist for a great read on Efficient Market Theory (EMT).